Adam Czyzewski

Archives for Energy

Can oil prices be predicted?

It is a truth universally acknowledged that the future cannot be accurately predicted, and the same applies to oil prices. In the latter case, however, it is possible to consider alternative scenarios pertaining to certain fundamental factors which, while rather inert in a short-time horizon, can be shaped in the long term. These scenarios may… » read more

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China has spooked investors. What has been happening on financial markets for over a month, since the speculative bubble burst in Shanghai, is reminiscent of the onset of the great recession in 2008-2009, especially when coupled with the decline in crude oil prices, which is widely perceived as a harbinger of recession. The standard explanation… » read more

Posted by adamczyzewski

The quarter’s end is a good time to confront what we had expected would happen on the oil and fuel markets with what actually happened. And this past quarter was certainly interesting in its diversity. During the quarter and after it ended, a number of developments took place that had a profound impact on the… » read more

Posted by adamczyzewski

European Energy Union

The union grows through crises – this phrase yields some 20 million search results about the European Union, even without clarifying what kind of union is meant, while searches related to the growth vision for the European Union, run in various configurations, return 500 thousand results at best. This is several times less than in… » read more

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Energetic pragmatism

Heads of six European oil and gas companies (BG Group, BP, Eni, Royal Dutch Shell, Statoil, and Total) have issued an appeal for more effective decarbonisation. They argued that the quickest way to reduce carbon dioxide emissions (using today’s technologies) is by phasing out coal in favour of natural gas, particularly in energy generation. In… » read more

Posted by adamczyzewski